November 29, 2018
The final tally from the November 6 general elections came in yesterday, as the last outstanding race was called by the Associated Press. David Valadao (R-CA), a member of the House Transportation-Housing Appropriations Subcommittee, was narrowly defeated by mail-in ballots after leading on Election Night and two weeks thereafter.
The final net gain for Democrats is 40 seats, so the House will go from a 240 R – 195 D ratio just before the elections (counting vacant seats as belonging to the party that vacated them) to a 235 D – 200 R ratio on the Opening Day of the 116th Congress, January 3, 2019.
A total of 46 seats actually changed hands, with a gross Democratic gain of 43, reduced by the three seats that the GOP took (MN01, MN08, and PA14). Democratic gains were concentrated in suburban districts and districts (like those in the California Central Valley) with a high Latino population. (Plus Pennsylvania, where a court decision rewrote the district lines at the last minute and upended a GOP gerrymander.)
The 40 net Democratic gains were concentrated in the following states:
The map below (courtesy of mapchart.net) shows all 46 seats that changed hands – the 43 districts that went from R to D are in blue and the 3 districts that went from D to R are in red.
A list of every House seat that changed hands in the election is below.
| District | Incumbent | Seats | GOP Pct | Dem Pct | Reporting | Result |
| Seats GOP Starts With | 240 | |||||
| AZ02 | Open (R – McSally) | -1 | 45.2% | 54.7% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| CA10 | Denham (R) | -1 | 48.3% | 51.7% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| CA21 | Valadao (R) | -1 | 49.8% | 50.2% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| CA25 | Knight (R) | -1 | 45.8% | 54.2% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| CA39 | Open (R – Royce) | -1 | 48.5% | 51.5% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| CA45 | Walters (R) | -1 | 48.1% | 51.9% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| CA48 | Rohrabacher (R) | -1 | 46.5% | 53.5% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| CA49 | Open (R – Issa) | -1 | 43.9% | 56.1% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| CO06 | Coffman (R) | -1 | 42.9% | 54.1% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| FL26 | Curbelo (R) | -1 | 49.1% | 50.9% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| FL27 | Open (R – Ros-Lehtinen) | -1 | 45.8% | 51.8% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| GA06 | Handel (R) | -1 | 49.5% | 50.5% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| IA01 | Blum (R) | -1 | 46.0% | 50.9% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| IA03 | Young (R) | -1 | 47.5% | 49.0% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| IL06 | Roskam (R) | -1 | 47.2% | 52.8% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| IL14 | Hultgren (R) | -1 | 48.1% | 51.9% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| KS03 | Yoder (R) | -1 | 44.2% | 53.3% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| ME02 | Poliquin (R) | -1 | 49.4% | 40.6% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| MI08 | Bishop (R) | -1 | 46.8% | 50.6% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| MI11 | Open (R – Trott) | -1 | 45.2% | 51.8% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| MN01 | Open (D – Walz) | +1 | 50.2% | 49.8% | 100.0% | R PICKUP |
| MN02 | Lewis (R) | -1 | 47.2% | 52.8% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| MN03 | Paulsen (R) | -1 | 44.3% | 55.7% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| MN08 | Open (D – Nolan) | +1 | 50.7% | 45.2% | 100.0% | R PICKUP |
| NJ02 | Open (R – LoBiondo) | -1 | 45.9% | 52.3% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| NJ03 | MacArthur (R) | -1 | 48.8% | 49.9% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| NJ07 | Lance (R) | -1 | 47.0% | 51.5% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| NJ11 | Open (R – Frelinghuysen) | -1 | 42.7% | 56.2% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| NM02 | Open (R – Pearce) | -1 | 49.3% | 50.7% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| NY11 | Donovan (R) | -1 | 47.3% | 50.2% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| NY19 | Faso (R) | -1 | 47.6% | 49.8% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| NY22 | Tenney (R) | -1 | 49.6% | 50.4% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| OK05 | Russell (R) | -1 | 49.3% | 50.7% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| PA05 | Open (R – Meehan) | -1 | 34.9% | 65.1% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| PA06 | Open (R – Costello) | -1 | 41.2% | 58.8% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| PA07 | Open (R – Dent) | -1 | 43.5% | 53.4% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| PA14 | Open (D -Lamb) | +1 | 58.0% | 42.0% | 100.0% | R PICKUP |
| PA17 | Rothfus (R) | -1 | 43.8% | 56.2% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| SC01 | Open (R – Sanford) | -1 | 49.3% | 50.7% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| TX07 | Culberson (R) | -1 | 47.5% | 52.5% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| TX32 | Sessions (R) | -1 | 45.9% | 52.2% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| UT04 | Love (R) | -1 | 49.9% | 50.1% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| VA02 | Taylor (R) | -1 | 48.9% | 51.1% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| VA07 | Brat (R) | -1 | 48.4% | 50.4% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| VA10 | Comstock (R) | -1 | 43.8% | 56.2% | 100.0% | D PICKUP |
| WA08 | Open (R – Reichert) | -1 | 47.4% | 52.6% | 90.6% | D PICKUP |
| Seats GOP Ends With | 200 | |||||
| Subtract From 435 = Democratic Seats | 235 | |||||
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Capitol Hill Events – Week of December 3, 2018
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